Bitfinex Alpha | Macro Determining BTC Price
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Bitcoin rebounded from the $112,000 lows, reclaiming the $115,800 range floor, after ETF outflows early in August reversed sharply into $769 million of net inflows over three sessions. This recovery, alongside steady accumulation by crypto treasury firms now holding nearly $90 billion in digital assets, has restored short-term confidence, price has broken past range highs near $119,500, but it remains to be seen if this breakout over resistance sustains. The price is oscillating around the short-term holder cost basis of $106,709, keeping conditions “warm but not overheated” and consistent with mid-cycle bull phases.